Merkle3s 每周市场速览 📊 6/24
1️⃣ 以色列伊朗冲突缓和,BTC波动减弱 🌐
- 本周早些时候 以色列伊朗冲突 引发市场剧烈波动,但随后特朗普促成双方达成停火协议,市场快速企稳。
- 预计 $BTC 将在$100K-$110K之间震荡整理,继续消化抛压后再寻求上行空间。
2️⃣ 特朗普施压降息,美联储内部分歧加剧 📉
- 特朗普持续施压降息,他首个任期内任命的两名美联储官员公开支持在7月底降息,凸显美联储内部决策分歧明显增大。
3️⃣ 链上指标显示市场趋于防守 🛡️
- #BTC 日均活跃地址稳中略降;链上交易量未恢复此前高位,市场整体情绪偏谨慎。
- 过去10天BTC持币地址数量变动微弱,长期持币者持仓稳定,信心未减。
- Dormancy和RHODL指标显示短期小额活跃,但未出现长期大规模资金流出迹象。
4️⃣ ETF资金持续强劲流入 📈
- 本周比特币现货ETF净流入约11.4亿美元,最大单日净流入6.41亿美元(6月17日)。
- 机构投资热情依旧旺盛,连续两周净流入超10亿美元。
5️⃣ Meme代币热度持续提升 🔥
- #Gorbagana $GOR :分叉自Solana的Meme币,灵感来自Toly的社区玩笑词汇“garbage + Solana”,迅速获得市场关注。
- #USLESS #LETSBONK:由Bonk团队推出的“无用即信仰”主题Meme币,本周市值突破1亿美元,成为市场热点。
Merkle3s Weekly Snapshot 📊 6/24
1️⃣ Israel-Iran Conflict Eases, BTC Volatility Subsides 🌐
- Conflict between #IsraeliranWar caused substantial market volatility early in the week but was quickly resolved by a ceasefire agreement facilitated by Trump. - $BTC expected to consolidate between $100K–$110K, absorbing remaining selling pressure before potential upward momentum resumes.
2️⃣ Trump Pushes for Fed Rate Cut, Internal Fed Debate Intensifies 📉
- Pressure from Trump intensified, with two Fed officials appointed during his first term publicly supporting a rate cut at the end of July, highlighting growing divisions within the Fed’s decision-making body.
3️⃣ On-Chain Indicators Signal Defensive Market Stance 🛡️
- Daily active #BTC addresses slightly declined; on-chain transaction volumes have not recovered to previous highs, indicating market caution.
- Minimal BTC holder address changes over the past 10 days suggest continued confidence from long-term holders.
- Dormancy and RHODL metrics show minor short-term activity, but no significant long-term capital outflows.
4️⃣ Robust ETF Inflows Continue 📈
- Bitcoin spot ETFs attracted ~$1.14B net inflows this week, with the largest single-day inflow of $641M on June 17.
- Institutional enthusiasm remains strong, marking the second consecutive week of inflows exceeding $1B.
5️⃣ Meme Tokens Gain Spotlight 🔥
- #Gorbagana $GOR: A meme token forked from Solana, inspired by Toly’s humorous “garbage + Solana” community remark, gained rapid attention.
- #USLESS #LETSBONK: “Useless is Faith” themed meme token launched by the Bonk team achieved a market cap surpassing $100M, emerging as this week’s meme highlight.
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